Number One? No thanks!

The Financial Times reports that China is set to become, if it has not already become, the world’s largest economy in 2014, based on purchasing power. But interestingly it is reported that China has been engaged in a long campaign to suppress the figures.

If we accept that China disagreed with the figures (without the use of the kind of emotive language to be found in the Times article), the question immediately comes to mind – why? The principle argument given in the article is that China does not want the additional responsibilities that being number one would bring. But are the additional responsibilities from being number two to being number one really the cause? More likely, as hinted at in the article, but not examined in any detail, the reason is far more about perceptions than it is about responsibilities.

What in fact really matters to China, the Chinese government and the Chinese people is the living standards enjoyed by Chinese citizens. Deng Xiaoping, once said, “Socialism is not poverty.” And by putting the economic development of China as the overriding priority, he embarked China upon a century-old dream of modernization and standing tall once more.

Nobody coud have envisaged the remarkable success of Deng’s Open Door and Reform policies would achieve. To come from nowhere and then ‘threaten’ the world’s leading economies’ positions brings with it significant political risks. One has only to look at the anti-China rhetoric that comes from some quarters in the US to see that China, despite every effort not to rock the boat with the USA, is actually stuck between a rock and a hard place. Its priority must be the welfare of its own people, and that has been served through rapid economic development – even those who have been ‘left behind’ are better off than they were. But a strong China is seen by some as a threat, not last of all in the US.

This is a far better explanation of Chinas reluctance to be declared the world’s largest economy by purchasing power. And in truth, with China actually the 99th economy in the world in terms of GDP per capita, the Chinese government knows the purchasing power number one slot brings nothing but the political problems it generates from a disgruntled United States.

This entry was posted in Business, Economics, International Relations, Politics and tagged , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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